研究:美国300余项数据中心禁令仅延误三个项目
SemiAnalysis 分析师 Maya Barkin 的逐项目审计显示,全美300多项地方数据中心建设禁令(多为暂停受理新申请的临时法律暂停)目前可能只延误约2.3 GW项目,而受禁令覆盖的容量约为21 GW。该机构预测2027年美国数据中心IT容量将达38 GW,超过2026年的两倍;其中已生效的地方禁令覆盖约20 GW,仅约1.5 GW被延误,纽约州的暂停再增加0.8 GW。上述2.3 GW的统计未包含得克萨斯州环境质量委员会(TCEQ)的许可暂停,SemiAnalysis 表示,禁令若要在规模上拖慢建设,还需在覆盖范围和严格程度上大幅扩大。
这一统计被 The Economist 等媒体引用,用于判断地方禁令是否会拖慢美国数据中心建设;其结论是当前影响有限,但尚未计入得州TCEQ的暂停。
More than 300 local data center construction moratoriums haven’t had a massive impact on planned buildouts, with only three projects at about 2.3 out of 21 gigawatts (GW) of data centers in moratorium areas likely to be delayed, with a total of 38 GW projected to come online next year, SemiAnalysis shared on X. Per-project audits of the moratoriums indicate that they tend to miss the site, the permit, or the timeline.
Moratoriums aren't killing the US datacenter buildout.Our analyst @mayabarkin finds only ~2.3 GW of ~21 GW in moratorium areas (excluding the TCEQ pause in Texas) is likely to be delayed, as cited in The Economist.For more, read her report in the SemiAnalysis newsletter👇️ https://t.co/N59qQFhDbJ https://t.co/MeHyR8hznUOctober 17, 2026
The crux of the report is that, while everyone thinks the moratoriums are killing the U.S. buildout, its forecast has “barely moved over the last 12 months.” This forecast includes 38 GW of U.S. data center IT capacity in 2027, which is more than double that of 2026. Of that, 22 GW is under vertical construction, and the other 16 GW is mostly financed, with site work being done. The enacted local moratoriums cover about 20 GW with only about 1.5 GW of it delayed; New York’s pause adds 0.8 GW more. “We think moratoriums COULD delay the buildout, but they just aren’t yet at scale.”
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