前CIA局长：AI或于2030年前指挥战场武器
美国退役将军、前中央情报局局长戴维·彼得雷乌斯在 Forecast2050 播客中预测，到2030年军方可能开始用AI指挥战场传感器与武器网络，从分析数据转向在极少或没有人类参与下做出决策。他称将出现“永不休眠、不进食、不休息”的AI参谋（agentic AI），并预计“自主系统的系统”会先加速出现，乌克兰到2026年底将更多使用自主无人系统。美国中央司令部司令布拉德·库珀海军上将则表示，人类操作员将“始终对打什么、不打什么以及何时开火做最终决定”。
是否把开火决策权交给AI，正从技术问题变成军队制度与政策必须回答的问题。
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Looking ahead: AI could begin directing networks of battlefield sensors and weapons by 2030, according to retired US Gen. David Petraeus, who expects military use of the technology to expand from analyzing data to making decisions with little or no human input. The former CIA director's forecast centers on AI staff officers and autonomous command systems that could coordinate multiple machines. Rather than operating drones independently, militaries would connect them through a command network able to gather information and direct operations.
"Just four years from now, we will have autonomous systems, and I think we will have the beginning of autonomous systems of autonomous systems; we will have AI agents, so you'll have agentic AI staff officers," Petraeus told investor Finn Murphy on the Forecast2050 podcast.
Petraeus outlined how such a network could operate during a CNBC interview in May. Autonomous sensors would collect battlefield data and relay it to a central command system, which would then direct weapons with little or no human involvement.