SemiAnalysis:2027年全球数据中心新增或超50GW
SemiAnalysis 发布分析称,2027年全球数据中心容量将加速扩张,新增规模可能超过50GW;其中超过24GW、分布在40个园区的项目已进入建设后期,计划于2027年交付。Techmeme 对该报告的摘要还提到,目前有60GW项目在建、年初至今已签署1.3万亿美元租赁合同。SemiAnalysis 表示,其专有模型跟踪自建开工与租赁等领先指标;Altimeter 的 Brad Gerstner 则公开质疑这一预测过于激进,认为实际建设规模约为25GW。
SemiAnalysis 称,50GW 的新增规模相当于把截至2024年的全球数据中心累计市场在一年内建成,这一预测因而成为判断AI算力供给扩张速度的重要争议焦点。
Not a week goes without another piece of datacenter FUD. We’ve already debunked depth why moratoriums aren’t as impactful as one may think. Despite that, many still misunderstand the pace of the global AI datacenter buildout. Just the other week, Brad Gerstner from Altimeter showed our data on the All-In Podcast and stated that “SemiAnalysis’ forecast of +43GW in 2027 is too aggressive” and that he thought only about 25GW would get built, close to half of our number, based on his “hunch”. But let’s not operate on hunches.
It’s very tempting to cede to the FUD given all the constraints on the datacenter buildout: power, labor, supply chains, capital, and many more. But at SemiAnalysis, we care about the truth, not about narratives. And here’s the truth for you: one picture, >24GW of datacenters in advanced stage of construction, all to be delivered in 2027. Most of them are more than halfway done, with exterior cooling and electrical equipment already installed. That’s just 40 campuses, a tiny share of the multiple hundred sites in advanced stage of construction. We track them all, and for the full granularity, use our Datacenter Industry Model.
#SemiAnalysis#Altimeter#Oracle#Microsoft#AWS#Meta#Google#Nvidia#AMD#Anthropic#DayOne#Crusoe