AI-driven memory prices push PC shipments down about 20% in Q3 2026
Data from research firms Omdia and IDC both point to a sharp global PC slowdown in the third quarter of 2026: Omdia estimates 58.1 million desktops, notebooks and workstations shipped, down 21.2% year over year, while IDC counts 62.7 million units, down 20.1% year over year and 9.1% quarter over quarter, breaking the usual seasonal pattern. Both firms attribute the slump largely to memory and storage price increases, as AI data-center demand for DRAM, HBM and high-speed storage squeezes supply for consumer PCs; Omdia says DRAM and SSDs now account for nearly 40% of a PC's bill of materials, up from about 15%. Omdia cites a mainstream laptop that sold for $699 in Q1 2025 with roughly $435 in parts, versus about $699 in parts for a comparable configuration in Q3 2026, and reports HP shipments fell about 31% while Apple's Macs fell about 11.3%. Separately, Microsoft says its testing shows Windows 11 26H2 can cut post-reboot memory use by up to about 2GB, and it aims to make the OS run better on 8GB machines by the end of 2026.
AI infrastructure's competition for memory supply is feeding through into PC prices, undercutting the pitch that AI features should drive a broad hardware upgrade cycle.