《Co-Existence》发布并回顾30个月AI进展
作者发布AI著作《Co-Existence》,并借此回顾《Co-Intelligence》出版后30个月间的AI进展,以图表呈现这些变化。他称,自己将图表制作工作委托给Claude Projects中的Opus 5.5;该工具中的编排智能体可按需向其他智能体分派任务。作者表示,仅提供简短指引后,系统便完成了研究、制图、排版、图片和引用等工作。文章还考察了METR长周期基准的数据,报告了推理成本下降,并描述了工作方式从聊天机器人转向智能体和多智能体协作的变化。在另一个例子中,作者使用Opus 5.5以及Google和ElevenLabs的在线服务,依据其提示词生成了一段AI视频。基准数字、成本比较和节省时间的估算均为作者报告的说法,未获供应材料独立验证。
文章把METR基准讨论与作者使用Opus 5.5编排智能体及其他智能体完成多步骤创作项目的亲历记录结合起来,呈现了从逐步操作聊天机器人转向委托AI完成工作的变化。
My second book on AI, Co-Existence, is out today (and you can get it here), 30 months after the release of Co-Intelligence in early 2024. Looking back across the gap between these books is a good way to get a sense of AI progress. And, thanks to AI, I can describe this progress with some quite lovely charts.
Making the charts is itself a good indicator of how far things have come. In the era of chatbots, the era of Co-Intelligence, I would have had to work back-and-forth with an AI in a chat window, guiding it through each new step. In the current era of agentic AI that I cover in Co-Existence, I delegated the work and let the AI handle it. In this case, I used Opus 5.5 in Claude Projects, which allows you to talk to a single “orchestrator” agent that then spins off additional agents as needed, giving them instructions and relaying information back to you. Getting the work done was straightforward. I gave the AI a couple sentences of suggestions and it did what would have taken me hours of work (all the research, all the graphing, all the layouts, all the images, all the citations…) in minutes. And since I didn’t have to do the work, I had the AI make many options for me. I picked some and gave handwavy reactions to others that would drive a human team mad (“make it better”). It even caught that I’d gotten the math wrong. I was going to call this post “28 months on the exponential.”
#Claude Opus 5.5#Claude Projects#Anthropic#Co-Existence#Co-Intelligence#GPT-4#OpenAI#Google#METR Long Horizon Benchmark#Midjourney#ElevenLabs