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Story

OpenAI's $70B vs $50B ARR gap is mostly a measurement issue

AI summary

A 36Kr-republished analysis by Haitian Invest argues markets overreacted to the reported drop in OpenAI's ARR from about $70B to $50B: the $70B figure is closer to a gross-revenue basis including Microsoft's cut and cloud-channel distribution, while the $50B comes from the Financial Times citing investor-facing net revenue, leaving roughly a 10% (about $6B) gap after adjustments. The piece says OpenAI's recent monthly growth has averaged about 10% versus about 3% for Anthropic, and cites an a16z report that roughly half of US users have tried AI, about a quarter use it daily and under 3% pay, while warning that Co-Working use cases are harder to validate than coding.

In-depth insight

Inconsistent ARR definitions among frontier labs can amplify misreadings of real AI demand.

OpenAIAnthropicMicrosoft

Original · 8 min readRead the original
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