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Intel Q4 guidance misses estimates as server CPU demand stays strong

AI summary

Intel forecast Q4 revenue of $15 billion to $16 billion, below the $17 billion analyst consensus, and adjusted EPS of $0.25 versus $0.43 expected. Its Q3 revenue rose 21% to $16.5 billion, while data center and AI sales climbed 78% to $7.3 billion and PC chip sales fell 5% to $8.1 billion. Management said server CPUs remain in short supply and forecast shipments to grow more than 30% in both 2026 and 2027, while it expects the PC market to contract about 12% in 2026. The guidance triggered a steep sell-off, with shares down more than 20% in extended trading and 28.58% at Friday’s close.

In-depth insight

Intel’s results show strong AI-related data-center growth alongside PC weakness, with the weak Q4 outlook weighing on the stock even as management reports constrained server-CPU supply.

IT之家 10 月 30 日消息,美东时间 29 日,英特尔管理层在 2026 年第三季度财报电话会议上披露,数据中心成为了该季度的增长核心,服务器 CPU 供不应求。

英特尔 CFO 大卫・津斯纳表示,工厂网络和外部供应商支持了更高的服务器 CPU 产出。按当前展望,DCAI 全年收入有望较年初预期高出近 100 亿美元(IT之家注:现汇率约合 667.69 亿元人民币)。管理层预计,行业仍将在 2027 年及 2028 年处于供应受限状态。服务器 CPU 出货量将在 2026 年和 2027 年均增长超过 30%,若供应更充足,增速还会更高。

另一边,PC 市场在 2026 年上半年保持韧性后开始走弱。英特尔预计 2026 年 PC 市场总规模将下降约 12%,下半年降幅将超过 20%。在内存供应改善、价格趋于正常化之前,PC 市场不会出现持续复苏。

津斯纳预计,到 2027 年,PC 市场总规模(TAM)将下降约 10%。上半年同比降幅将更为显著,下半年由于基数较低,有望出现改善。同时,英特尔对 PC 市场的长期展望保持不变。 传统 PC 将在推动人工智能应用发展和提升人工智能基础设施投资回报率方面发挥重要作用。

#Intel#Xeon#Data Center and AI#Client Computing Group

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