Société Générale

Headlines · 1

1. Oct 10
   10-year Treasury yield nears 5.4% as cracks show in the AI trade

   The 10-year US Treasury yield approached 5.4% this week, the highest since 2002, while Brent crude hovered above $100 a barrel. The S&P 500 hit a record high, yet only about 30% of its members traded above their 50-day moving average — the weakest participation on a record-setting day in Bloomberg data going back to 1990 — and the Russell 2000 fell for a fifth straight week, about 8.5% below its peak; a junk-bond ETF slid to its lowest since this spring's tariff selloff and the weakest borrowers pay roughly 15%. The piece says Thursday's chip-stock drop showed the AI trade is not invulnerable, cites a Société Générale extreme scenario in which 6% yields and $150 oil could send the S&P 500 down more than 20% next year, and quotes fund manager Jeff Muhlenkamp saying he has nearly eliminated his AI-related holdings.

   虎嗅 AI · 🔥 0

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