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Report: China's six AI leaders earn about 10% of OpenAI and Anthropic revenue

AI summary

An Epoch AI report estimates that, as of September 2026, the combined AI-related revenue of Alibaba, ByteDance, Zhipu, Moonshot AI, DeepSeek and MiniMax was roughly 10% of OpenAI and Anthropic's combined total. It puts Anthropic's annualized revenue at about $65 billion and OpenAI's at about $40 billion, against roughly $10 billion for the six Chinese firms: ByteDance about $4 billion, Alibaba about $2.4 billion, Zhipu about $1.8 billion, Moonshot AI and DeepSeek about $1 billion each, and MiniMax about $0.8 billion, with the ByteDance and Alibaba figures mainly reflecting model-as-a-service revenue. The report maps five monetization paths — consumer apps, API access, enterprise and government custom work, licensing and indirect gains through existing ecosystems — and notes that open-weight releases speed diffusion while eroding API pricing power, leaving pure model makers to weigh openness against monetization.

In-depth insight

The comparison quantifies the revenue gap between US and Chinese frontier AI labs and shows Chinese vendors shifting from bespoke deployments toward APIs and cloud revenue-sharing.

Epoch AIOpenAIAnthropic

Original · 7 min readRead the original
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