Daron Acemoglu

Headlines · 2

1. 11h
   Nobel economist Acemoglu: only ~5% of jobs will be automated by AI in 10 years

   Microsoft AI CEO Mustafa Suleyman posted on X on Oct. 6 citing Nobel economics laureate Daron Acemoglu's forecast that only about 5% of human jobs will be replaced by AI within 10 years. In an article published in July in the inaugural issue of The Humanist Review, Acemoglu estimated that AI could technically automate roughly 20% of work, but adoption constraints mean only about 5% will actually be automated over a decade — a figure he acknowledged is "just an estimate." He argued that AI performs well in lab settings such as coding and radiology diagnosis, yet real-world enterprise deployments lag, with engineers spending significant time debugging AI-generated code.

   IT之家 AI · 🔥 7
2. 1d
   Microsoft publishes Nobel economist's bearish AI forecast: 1.5% GDP, 5% of jobs

   Microsoft published an analysis by Nobel laureate economist Daron Acemoglu in its corporate blog The Humanist Review of AI, forecasting that AI will add only about 1.5% to GDP over ten years and automate at most 5% of jobs. Microsoft AI chief Mustafa Suleyman cited the findings while introducing the publication, saying fears of mass unemployment are exaggerated and drawing a distinction between task automation and job disappearance. Acemoglu argues the bottleneck is human nature — firms must reassign tasks, upskill workers and restructure — and that AI which augments workers will beat full automation on productivity.

   The Decoder · 🔥 12

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